兔年行大運-Wish you good luck in the year of the rabbit. 新年大吉-Wishing you luck for the new year. 恭喜發財-May⋯⋯

*王毅外長* ：我國要做好準備面對 *未來三年* 的 *十大殘酷現實* ! 　王毅：2020年對中美關係來講是艱難的一年，這種艱難可能還會持續幾年時間，甚至會更長，因為 *到現在還沒有解藥* 。而在接下來的三年裡我們也需要去面對的十大殘酷現實！　　第一大殘酷現實： *中美關係是所有關係中的關鍵和核心* ，有一萬個理由可以證明搞好中美關係的重要性， *中國沒有成本優勢與美國對抗*。　　不是說中國怕美國，而是不值得玩對抗﹔在對待美國霸權問題上， *中國必須要運用智慧* 。防止失聯朋友圈更精彩你可以討厭美國、不喜歡美國、恨美國， *但不要影響去重視美國*。不是因為覺得美國好才與他搞好關係，僅僅是因為 *美國是“老大”* ，是 *遊戲規則的制定者* ，是 *中國最大的消費市場* ，這是 *一個殘酷的現實和事實* ，你不服不行。　　第二大殘酷現實： *現在的中國可以影響世界，但不能左右世界* 。目前能夠左右世界的只有美國，這個現實我們必須要接受。要知道：影響世界的國家有許多，況且這種影響也是有階段性的，你在影響別人的同時，別人 *也在影響你。世界萬物都是彼此影響的，所以 *不要有優越感* 。優越感會造成 *盲目自信* ，自信過頭就是 *自負*，自負過頭就會 *自命不凡*，最後只能是 *自作多情* 和 *自認倒霉* 了。第三大殘酷現實： *“中國模式”僅僅適用於中國* 。　　中國的高速發展是不能被複製制的。因為中國的歷史別國是沒有的，我們所受到的曲折、痛苦和折磨在人類歷史上是少有的，中國現在的發展模式是結合了中國國情而形成的一種模式。所以，不要動不動就想推銷“中國模式”，別人 *不會接受*，也會 *水土不服* 。　　第四大殘酷現實： *不要輕言戰爭* 。　　如果40年前中國說不怕戰爭，那是一種底氣，因為我們窮，光腳的不怕穿鞋的。但，如果你現在還說“不怕戰爭”，那是一種虛張聲勢。因為你已經“相當”富裕，你的北上廣深大城市已經與世界上任何大城市可以媲美。“羅馬城不是一日建成的”，但 *“毀掉羅馬城瞬間就可以實現”* 。　　美國人是世界上最怕戰爭的，因為他有最繁華的城市群，所以美國要發展世上最強大的軍隊，目的就是要 *“拒戰爭於萬里之外”* ，絕不讓戰爭在本土發生。中國現在還沒有這個能力，中國若與強大的敵人戰爭，必然是 *本土戰爭*，我們壯大軍隊不是渴望戰爭，而是要 *防止把戰爭引入家門*/。　　第五大殘酷現實： *中國永遠都是一個發展中的國家* 。　　我們的朋友圈永遠在第三世界。要牢記：西方那些發達國家是不會帶我們玩的，在他們的眼中 *永遠有“優越感”* 。 *西方永遠瞧不起我們的價值觀*，永遠認為中國“落後”。在西方人眼裡，永遠都存在 *“東西方差異”* 。千萬不要認為可以融入西方世界，天真地認為可以與 *西方平起平坐* ，中國與歐美僅僅是 *生意關係* ，是 *做不了真朋友的* 。　　第六大殘酷現實 *不要主動去向世界承諾什麼，更不要用錢去買地位，充當世界領袖* 。　　真正的領袖都不是主動申請的，而是 *受命於危難* ，都是 *被人強推上位的* 。所以，領袖不好當，吃力不討好。如果你成了世界領袖，那麼必須要放棄許多，全世界都要跟你玩“貿易順差”，你卻又不敢有脾氣。如果這領袖好當， *美國就不會混的現在這麼慘了* (在川普眼裡，美國混的最慘，是世界級的大傻瓜)。　　第七大殘酷現實： *中國已經回不去了* ，不可能因為“摸著石子過河”陷入了深水區就妄想退回去。　　時光不會倒流，不可能因為害怕風險而停止這場遊戲。從開始打開國門的那一天起，我們注定沒有回頭路可走， *國門必須是越開越大，陷阱必然是越走越多* 。 *不能輕言放棄*，更 *不能 “好了傷疤忘了疼”*。　　第八大殘酷現實： *不能為了追求“多快好省”而“超速上癮”* ，不要動不動就犯“大躍進”的毛病， *不要炫耀所謂“彎道超車”* 。　　不是因為你技術好，僅僅是一種僥倖。遵守規則從來就不是墨守陳規，講究信用也不是呆傻愚鈍。所有投機取巧的鑽空子結果都會是互相傷害， *出來混總要還的，越強大的人越把規則當生命看待* 。　　第九大殘酷現實： *你今天超越了別人，明天別人就會超越你* 。超越強者不是為了證明你的強大，而是要讓民眾享受到做強者的好處。事實證明：*真正聰明的人願意永遠是一個追隨者*，而 *不願意成為一個超越者* 。也許你覺得韜光養晦無法顯出英雄本色，但低調做人恰恰是深藏不露高手的基本素質。第十大殘酷現實： *所有用錢買來的朋友都靠不住* 。 “誰是我們的敵人？誰是我們的朋友？這是革命的首要問題”，真正的朋友恰恰是經常公開爭吵的、互相懟罵的。在你渴望用錢去收買別人的時候，一不小心就被別人利用了。真正強大的國家不是因為錢多而吸引別人，而是你的 *價值信仰* 和 *執政理念* *深深讓人折服*。　　現實往往都是 *殘酷* 的，甚至是 *殘忍* 的。但是，許多時候並不是因為殘酷而使人不敢正視現實，僅僅是因為 *缺乏自信而曲解了現實* 。　　—— *王毅* 王毅把天下興亡說得非常透徹，句句擲地有聲! 轉自 ”人民的曙光” *Wang Yi Foreign Minister*: my country should be ready to face the *ten cruel realities* of the next *three years*! Wang Yi: 2020 will be a difficult year for China-US relations, and this difficulty may continue for several years, or even longer, because *there is no antidote*. And in the next three years, we also need to face the ten cruel realities! The first cruel reality: *Sino-US relations are the key and core of all relations*, there are 10,000 reasons to prove the importance of doing well in Sino-US relations, *China has no cost advantage against the US*. It is not that China is afraid of the United States, but it is not worth playing against; *China must use wisdom* in dealing with the issue of American hegemony. You can hate the United States, dislike the United States, hate the United States, but *don't affect the importance of the United States*. It's not because he thinks the United States is good that he has a good relationship with him, but only because *the United States is the "boss"*, the maker of the *rules of the game*, and the largest consumer market in China. *This is a cruel reality and fact* , *You can't not accept it.* The second cruel reality: *Now China can influence the world, but it cannot control the world*. At present, only the United States can control the world. We must accept this reality. You must know that there are many countries that influence the world, and this influence is also phased. While you are influencing others, others are also influencing you. Everything in the world affects each other, so *don't feel superior*. Superiority will lead to *blind self-confidence*, too much self-confidence is *conceited*, too much self-confidence will be *pretentious*, and in the end it can only be *self-consciousness* and *self-confessed bad luck*. Third cruel reality: *The "China model" only applies to China*. China's rapid development cannot be replicated. Because China has no other country in its history, and the twists, pains and tortures we have suffered are rare in human history. China's current development model is a model formed by combining China's national conditions. So, don't try to sell the "Chinese model" at every turn. Others *will not accept* and *will not acclimatize*. The fourth cruel reality: *Don't talk about war lightly*. If China said 40 years ago that it is not afraid of war, it would have been a kind of confidence, because we are poor, and those who are barefoot are not afraid of wearing their feet. But if you still say "not afraid of war" now, that's a bluff. Because you are already "pretty" wealthy, your big cities in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen are comparable to any big city in the world. "The city of Rome was not built in a day", but *"destroyed the city of Rome in an instant"*. Americans are the one most afraid of war in the world, because they have the most prosperous urban agglomeration, so the purpose of the United States to develop the most powerful army in the world is to *"held back war from thousands of miles away"*, and never let war occur in the homeland. China does not have this capability yet. If China fights a powerful enemy, it must be a *local war*. We are not longing for war to grow our army, but to *prevent war from being introduced into our homes*. The fifth cruel reality: *China will always be a developing country*. Our circle of friends is always in the third world. Remember: those developed countries in the West will not take us to play, and in their eyes *always have a "sense of superiority"*. *The West will always look down on our values* and always consider *China to be "backward"*. In the eyes of Westerners, there will always be *"East-West differences"*. Don't think that you can *integrate into the Western world*, and *naively think that you can*. The sixth cruel reality *Don't take the initiative to promise anything to the world, let alone use money to buy status and act as a world leader*. The real leaders are not actively applying to be one, but *accept the mission under dangerous and difficult condition*, and *they are all being pushed to the position by force*. Therefore, it is not easy to be a leader, and it is *thankless* . If you become a world leader, you have to *give up a lot* . The whole world wants to play a "trade surplus" with you, but you don't dare to have a temper. If this leader is good, *the United States will not be so miserable now* (In Trump's eyes, the United States is the worst, and it is a world-class fool). The seventh cruel reality: *China has no way to go back*, it is impossible to go back because of "crossing the river by feeling the stones" and falling into the deep water area. Time will not go back, it is impossible to stop this game because of fear of risk. From the day we started to open the country's door, we are destined to have no turning back. *The country's door must be opened wider and wider, and come across more traps as you move among . *Can't give up lightly*, and *can't "get rid of the scar and forget the pain"*. The eighth cruel reality: *You can't be "addicted to speeding" in pursuit of "more speed and better savings"*, don't make the "Great Leap Forward" at every turn, *don't show off the so-called "curve overtaking"*. It's not because of your skill, it's just a fluke. Obeying the rules is never sticking to the old rules, and paying attention to credit is not stupid. All opportunistic exploits will result in mutual harm, and the more powerful people will treat the rules as life. The ninth cruel reality: *You surpass others today, others will surpass you tomorrow*. Overtaking the strong ones is not to prove your strength, but to let the people enjoy the benefits of being a strong ones. It turns out: *Really smart people are willing to always be a follower*, and *will not be a transcender/surpasser*. Maybe you think that keeping a low profile cannot show the true character of a hero, but being a low-key person is precisely the basic quality of a *master who is hidden* . Tenth cruel reality: *all friends bought with money are unreliable*. "Who are our enemies? Who are our friends? This is the primary question of the revolution." *The real friends are those who often quarrel openly and scold each other*. When you are eager to bribe others with money, you are accidentally used by others. A truly powerful country is not attracted to others because of more money, but because of your *value beliefs* and *governing ideas* *deeply convincing*. Reality is often *cruel*, even *brutal . However, many times it is not because of cruelty that people dare not face reality, but because of *lack of self-confidence and distorted reality*. —— *Wang Yi* Wang Yi explained the rise and fall of the world very clearly, and every sentence is powerful! From "The Dawn of the People"。