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Lin mark this message contains misinformation
originally written by Lin
住進去二分之一死亡的部分有錯,也屬於危言聳聽。傳染病防治醫療網指揮官張上淳已提醒大家類似這樣的詮釋易造成誤解,Lancet的研究對象是針對疫情初期確診的41個「中度以上患者(皆已有肺炎)」,與臨床上仍有許多「不一定有肺炎的輕症患者」不同。 3.8的研究也尚未通過同儕審查,必須對該研究論述持保留態度,且R0值的估算受資料品質、數學模型選用影響很大,隨疫情進展R0也是會變動的。

References

https://pansci.asia/archives/178597

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